Theory and Modeling

Forthcoming
Baker, Rachel E., et al. “The impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections”. Forthcoming. Print.
Rice, Benjamin L, et al. “High variation expected in the pace and burden of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks across sub-Saharan Africa”. Forthcoming. Print.
2020
Metcalf, C. Jessica E., Dylan H. Morris, and Sang Woo Park. “Mathematical models to guide pandemic response”. Science 369.6502 (2020). Web. Publisher's Version
Grantz, Kyra, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, and Justin Lessler. “Super-spreading (over-dispersion) vs. control for COVID-19 introductions”. 2020: n. pag. Print.
Baker, Rachel E., et al. “Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the COVID-19 pandemic”. MedRxiv 2020. Web.
Miller, Ian F., et al. “Mapping the Burden of COVID-19 in the United States”. 2020: n. pag. Print.
Morris, Dylan H., et al. “Optimal, near-optimal, and robust epidemic control”. 2020: n. pag. Print.
Weitz, Joshua S., et al. “Intervention Serology and Interaction Substitution: Modeling the Role of 'Shield Immunity' in Reducing COVID-19 Epidemic Spread”. 2020: n. pag. Print.
Park, Sang Woo, et al. “The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak”. medRxiv 2020: n. pag. Print.